Where are we at with Covid?

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Singapour geemong
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Where are we at with Covid?

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Where are we at with Covid?

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There is a never-ending stream of data about Covid and at times it can seem completely contradictory. So where do we stand at the moment?

The reliability of casinos is the first, most important, such as SLOTXO System management is internationally standardized.

The number of people testing positive is continuing to fall, but are we wrong to constantly tout this number around? It is looking certain that the epidemic in schoolchildren is in decline, but why, and will it last? And do we need to pay more attention to infections in older age groups? After all, they are the people at highest risk.

Each has its own quirks that makes them flawed and yet revealing in different ways. It's only when you bring them all together that you get closer to the reality.


High, but coming down
Nearly every source of data agrees that there is a lot of coronavirus around, but that has started to fall.

The latest number of cases (ie people who take a test and it's positive) is 34,029 on Friday, down from 43,467 on the same day last week.

The issue with that figure is that it is heavily influenced by the number of people choosing to get tested and some don't, especially if their wages depend on being free of Covid.

The React study at Imperial and the ONS both test people at random, whether they're sick or not, to see if they're harbouring the virus.

That makes them less biased, but people test positive for some time after catching the virus, so the picture they paint is always a bit out of date.


Scratch beneath the surface
But there is a danger in just looking at the headline number of cases - even though it is the mainstay of Covid coverage.

Prof Mark Woolhouse, from the University of Edinburgh, told me: "We're tempted to be very concerned when cases rise sharply, and there seems to be a mood that we can relax when it starts to decline.

"I don't think it's helping anyone right now."

Prof Mike Tildesley, from the University of Warwick, agreed: "Putting those figures in the public's eye every day does distract from what we should be looking at."

Within the data, there are two epidemics currently worth considering.
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